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Will this year be the year of he big dive watch? I very seriously doubt it as trends across the market are moving downward. But that doesn't mean there isn't a spot for larger watches in the general public or among collectors. I prefer larger watches myself. I have divers as small as 40mm (Zodiac SSW) up to 53mm (Invicta Venom). Personally I tend to enjoy watches 44-46mm myself presuming all the other dimensions work. My 46mm Breitling SOH II is superb as is my 44.25mm Omega SMPc.

H2O watches makes a lot of cool watches in the 42-26mm range. Oris, Doxa, Blancpain, Brands with real heritage in the Diver game as well.
 

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Ackchyually....
sure I can show my work. A few quick examples:
Oris which used to promote its large Pro Diver series and Aquis Small Seconds both of which were available in multiple colorways just years ago. In addition most of the Diver's 65 collection was available in 40 or 42.

Over the past two years all of the Diver sixty 65 releases have been smaller than 40mm. They stopped making the Pro Dover and now make one large Aquis Pro, and no longer have the small seconds in their collection. The Aquis models are mostly 41.5mm now instead of the larger sizes. Some are under that. Even the 43.5 is smaller than the older line normally. Almost every new Aquis release is 41.5 or smaller. The made one of their new in-house Aquis models with the 43.5 case all others are smaller.

Breitling has moved to make the Superocean series available in 36, and 42 whereas they used to all be 44 and 46mm. The SuperOcean Heritage which used to only be 46mm is now available in 38, 42, and 44 with only two colorways left in 46mm.

Essentially every micro brand is trying to do 38-40mm. Helm's most recent release for example. H2O which used be pride themselves on large watches haven't released a watch above 42 in years. Just a couple micro examples.

Hamilton just came out with a slew of new colorways for the Khaki Navy that are all 40 and under. Their dive line used to be all 42mm+. Now they have 4 45+ but the have 33 models between 39-44mm.

Tag released a slew of 30-40mm Aquaracers. C Ward eliminated their 43mm C60s.

That's just a few quick hits for divers only. If not just talking divers I think the move to smaller is even more so the case.

Let's not forget too that to those of use that like large watches, things like Omega going from 41mm to 42mm on the SMPc is pretty meaningless.

I acknowledge that some makers have made a few models that have gone up, but still the overall trend is to smaller and smaller watches. If you don't agree that's fine. I would prefer it wasn't the case myself anyhow... lol
 

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Well, Ackchyually,
The fact that many companies offer their models in more sizes is not exactly the same as "trend moving downwards".

If the larger cases were discontinued in favor of smaller, it would be different. But I don't see a larger diversity is the same as a trend for smaller watches.
Here are some articles... its not just my opinion:
.

again though to illustrate my point, as you say you can see if larger watches are being eliminated for smaller. when that has happened in the examples I gave you.
Breitling took the SOH line from all 46mm to having only 2 46mm options and all the rest of the line being smaller.
Oris eliminated a whole large collection and eliminated the Aquis small seconds and keep making all the newest models smaller.

Diversity would be adding in all directions... these companies are only adding smaller watches.

We can disagree.... that's cool, but there is plenty of evidence to back my opinion. Which again as a large watch lover I wish wasn't the case.

peace
 

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Breitling is just getting better at offering more sizes under Kern and you’re sort of cherry picking the SOH line when most of their new releases are 42mm+ in the past couple years. Super/regular chronomat 44/42, super Avenger 48, Superocean 48, super AVI gmt 46, endurance pro 44.

I think the only Breitling released solely in a smaller diameter <40 was the SOH’57.
edit lol the 57 is actually 42mm so nvm
I"m not cherry picking I'm sticking with divers.

Chronomats are a great example. They used to start at 44mm and go up. Now 44m is the largest model and the line starts at 32 and the main model is 42mm.

again with the SOH II line, all SOH models used to be 46mm. Chrono, 3 hand, every color combo. Now only 2 are offered in that size the rest are all smaller, you can say some are 44mm which is still large to some people but its still smaller.
 
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